Pre-tourney Rankings
East Carolina
American Athletic
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.5#185
Expected Predictive Rating-1.5#187
Pace66.4#270
Improvement-4.0#315

Offense
Total Offense-0.1#175
First Shot+0.9#148
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#254
Layup/Dunks-0.3#184
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#198
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#101
Freethrows-0.3#198
Improvement-3.3#309

Defense
Total Defense-1.3#202
First Shot-0.3#179
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#277
Layups/Dunks+0.6#153
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#120
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.4#342
Freethrows+3.6#15
Improvement-0.7#219
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 346   Grambling St. W 61-53 93%     1 - 0 -10.2 -13.5 +3.8
  Nov 16, 2015 195   Charlotte W 88-74 63%     2 - 0 +9.0 +9.5 -0.8
  Nov 20, 2015 23   @ California L 62-70 5%     2 - 1 +9.6 +2.1 +7.2
  Nov 23, 2015 53   @ San Diego St. L 54-79 10%     2 - 2 -12.3 -4.3 -9.4
  Nov 26, 2015 77   Arkansas Little Rock L 46-54 21%     2 - 3 -0.8 -12.2 +9.6
  Nov 27, 2015 283   Stetson W 93-73 73%     3 - 3 +12.1 +11.7 +0.0
  Dec 01, 2015 301   Florida Atlantic W 74-48 84%     4 - 3 +13.9 +2.1 +13.6
  Dec 04, 2015 321   South Carolina Upstate W 82-71 88%     5 - 3 -3.1 +4.3 -6.9
  Dec 07, 2015 124   @ College of Charleston L 73-77 25%     5 - 4 +1.7 +8.3 -6.6
  Dec 13, 2015 337   N.C. A&T W 71-60 91%     6 - 4 -5.5 -5.6 +0.8
  Dec 16, 2015 87   UNC Wilmington W 78-73 31%     7 - 4 +8.6 -1.4 +9.6
  Dec 20, 2015 97   @ James Madison L 61-67 17%     7 - 5 +2.6 +1.2 +0.7
  Dec 22, 2015 272   South Carolina St. W 98-71 79%     8 - 5 +17.0 +12.2 +3.3
  Jan 02, 2016 173   Central Florida L 68-71 58%     8 - 6 0 - 1 -6.6 -4.5 -2.1
  Jan 05, 2016 64   @ Tulsa L 43-55 12%     8 - 7 0 - 2 -0.7 -24.4 +23.5
  Jan 09, 2016 84   @ Temple L 60-78 15%     8 - 8 0 - 3 -8.5 +4.0 -15.6
  Jan 13, 2016 19   SMU L 55-79 11%     8 - 9 0 - 4 -11.8 -8.6 -5.5
  Jan 16, 2016 173   @ Central Florida L 69-89 36%     8 - 10 0 - 5 -17.8 -2.7 -14.6
  Jan 19, 2016 64   Tulsa L 69-84 25%     8 - 11 0 - 6 -9.5 -1.3 -8.4
  Jan 24, 2016 71   @ Memphis W 84-83 13%     9 - 11 1 - 6 +11.8 +11.7 +0.0
  Jan 27, 2016 84   Temple W 64-61 31%     10 - 11 2 - 6 +6.7 -2.0 +8.8
  Jan 30, 2016 59   Houston L 93-97 2OT 23%     10 - 12 2 - 7 +2.3 +6.8 -3.9
  Feb 07, 2016 29   @ Connecticut L 67-85 6%     10 - 13 2 - 8 -2.1 +5.1 -7.6
  Feb 10, 2016 192   Tulane L 92-100 3OT 63%     10 - 14 2 - 9 -12.8 -3.2 -7.5
  Feb 13, 2016 32   @ Cincinnati L 60-75 7%     10 - 15 2 - 10 +0.1 +0.9 -1.7
  Feb 16, 2016 215   South Florida L 52-69 68%     10 - 16 2 - 11 -23.3 -19.0 -5.1
  Feb 21, 2016 19   @ SMU L 63-74 5%     10 - 17 2 - 12 +7.1 +4.3 +1.5
  Feb 24, 2016 192   @ Tulane W 79-73 40%     11 - 17 3 - 12 +7.0 +12.8 -5.6
  Feb 27, 2016 32   Cincinnati L 56-65 16%     11 - 18 3 - 13 +0.2 -1.8 +0.7
  Mar 02, 2016 215   @ South Florida W 52-39 46%     12 - 18 4 - 13 +12.5 -11.2 +25.6
  Mar 06, 2016 71   Memphis L 53-83 27%     12 - 19 4 - 14 -25.0 -16.0 -8.8
  Mar 10, 2016 215   South Florida L 66-71 57%     12 - 20 -8.4 -7.0 -1.3
Projected Record 12.0 - 20.0 4.0 - 14.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14 100.0% 100.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%